Who's actually right about markets?
Every day we log the checkable forecasts made on the shows we follow, in the speaker's exact words, and score them when their deadline arrives. Market calls are checked automatically against real closing prices.
Tracking since 2026-11-04. Rankings need at least 3 scored forecasts per person, so this page fills up over the coming weeks.
🎯 Most accurate voices
No one has 3 scored forecasts yet. Check back as deadlines pass.
📻 By show
| Show | Logged | Scored | Right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg Surveillance | 6 | 0 | — |
| Exchanges (Goldman Sachs) | 4 | 0 | — |
| Marketplace | 4 | 0 | — |
| WSJ What's News | 3 | 0 | — |
| Odd Lots (Bloomberg) | 1 | 0 | — |
| Prof G Markets | 1 | 0 | — |
⏳ Open forecasts soonest deadline first
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⏳ open Julian Emanuel of Evercore Analyst
The Fed will not hike rates by 50 basis points in December.
“We don't think 50 is on the table December. They may talk about it. They may jawbone about it. Not happening, okay?”
Said 2026-11-11 on Bloomberg Surveillance · deadline 2026-12-01 -
⏳ open Julian Emanuel of Evercore Analyst
The Fed will hike rates by 25 basis points in December.
“We definitely think you get 25 in December. And then let's see what the data shows and how things start to evolve.”
Said 2026-11-11 on Bloomberg Surveillance · deadline 2026-12-01 -
⏳ open John Waldron Goldman Sachs President and Chief Operating Officer
Corporate M&A will increase by 30-35% in 2026
“We're going to see corporate M&A up 30, 35% this year.”
Said 2026-11-04 on Exchanges (Goldman Sachs) · deadline 2026-12-31 -
⏳ open John Waldron Goldman Sachs President and Chief Operating Officer
U.S. real GDP growth will be 2.5% (plus or minus) in 2026, with a possibility of reaching 3% if conditions are favorable
“We're constructive. As I said, nominal growth in the U.S. looks like it's going to be north of 6%. We obviously are running with hotter inflation. So real growth is in the twos, let's say. And I think our, you would know as well as I do, I think our forecast is 2.5% real growth plus minus. That's pretty strong. It could get to 3% if things break in a certain way.”
Said 2026-11-04 on Exchanges (Goldman Sachs) · deadline 2026-12-31 -
⏳ open Debnil Chowdhury S&P Global Energy
Refining capacity lost to attacks in Russia and the Middle East won't be meaningfully repaired until next year (2027).
“We don't expect the damage to be repaired in a meaningful way until next year.”
Said 2026-11-10 on Marketplace · deadline 2026-12-31 -
⏳ open David Malpass Former President of the World Bank Group
permitting reform will be achieved by year end
“maybe they could get that done here by year end”
Said 2026-11-11 on Bloomberg Surveillance · deadline 2026-12-31 -
⏳ open Nicole Pullen-Ross Head of Northeast Private Wealth Management and Sports and Entertainment Solutions at Goldman Sachs
The global media rights market will reach $67 billion in 2026.
“And so the global media rights market has grown 41 percent since 2020 to about 57.8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach 67 billion in 2026.”
Said 2026-11-11 on Exchanges (Goldman Sachs) · deadline 2026-12-31 -
⏳ open Anna Wong Chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics
The Bloomberg Price Project headline inflation reading for October is 4.6%.
“we have a headline reading of around 4.6% in October. But I think the bottom line is that inflation is pretty hot.”
Said 2026-11-12 on Marketplace · deadline 2026-12-31 -
⏳ open Charu Channa Saxo Bank's chief investment strategist
AI spending will diversify into other chip suppliers like AMD and Broadcom.
“I don't think we're at a point where we can say that AI spending is going to be pulled off because of this leadership crisis at Nvidia. So, if that does not happen, what happens is that AI spending just diversifies into other chip suppliers like AMD, like Broadcom, for example.”
Said 2026-11-12 on WSJ What's News · deadline 2026-12-31 -
⏳ open Guy Sakala Inside Mortgage Finance
Mortgage rates will bounce around 7%, somewhere below 7.25% in the next month or two.
“In the next month or two, I think we're going to bounce around 7%, somewhere below 7.25%.”
Said 2026-11-09 on Marketplace · deadline 2027-01-09 -
⏳ open Mandeep Singh Analyst
Collette Kress will serve as interim CEO of Nvidia for one or two quarters.
“I won't be surprised if they take uh, you know, much longer in terms of the CEO search and have Collette kind of take care of things uh for maybe uh you know, one or two quarters.”
Said 2026-11-12 on Bloomberg Surveillance · deadline 2027-05-12 -
⏳ open Kathryn Anne Edwards PhD economist
Inflation will remain above the 2% target for the next six months.
“I don't think 2% inflation within the next six months, which I I really doubt we could get to anyway”
Said 2026-11-13 on Prof G Markets · deadline 2027-05-13 -
⏳ open McKenzie Hawkins Bloomberg News tech reporter
Huawei will take more than a year to fulfill DeepSeek's order of 160,000 AI chips.
“Huawei's not going to be able to fulfill that order for more than a year.”
Said 2026-11-12 on Odd Lots (Bloomberg) · deadline 2027-11-12 -
⏳ open Peter Sheer Academy Securities
Anthropic should raise enough capital in their IPO to avoid needing to return to the market for at least one year.
“I think they really should be raising enough money that they can say, hey, we don't need to come to the market to borrow money or raise equity for months if not a year to come.”
Said 2026-11-12 on Bloomberg Surveillance · deadline 2027-11-12 -
⏳ open John Waldron Goldman Sachs President and Chief Operating Officer
Goldman Sachs' deployment of AI will be significantly larger in 2027 compared to 2026
“2027 is going to be a much bigger year for Goldman Sachs and our deployment of AI than 2026 was, which was also quite a good start for us.”
Said 2026-11-04 on Exchanges (Goldman Sachs) · deadline 2027-12-31 -
⏳ open Debnil Chowdhury S&P Global Energy
Refinery run levels won't get back to pre-war levels until some point in 2028.
“we don't reach pre-war run levels until some point in 2028.”
Said 2026-11-10 on Marketplace · deadline 2027-12-31 -
⏳ open Ed Hears Energy Fellow at the University of Houston
data centers will bring their own power plants in the next year or two
“how likely is that? I mean, how do we see that happening in the next year, in the next two years?”
Said 2026-11-11 on Bloomberg Surveillance · deadline 2027-12-31 -
⏳ open Nicholas Miller Journal reporter
Future home sales data will be worse than the October figures.
“Mortgage rates rose even further in October, so that could mean that further sales data is even worse.”
Said 2026-11-12 on WSJ What's News · deadline 2027-12-31 -
⏳ open Nicholas Miller Journal reporter
Mortgage rates will remain at elevated levels.
“Mortgage economists think that the mortgage rates are going to stay elevated.”
Said 2026-11-12 on WSJ What's News · deadline 2027-12-31
Forecasts are extracted by AI and only kept if the exact quote is found in the episode transcript. Market calls are scored on closing prices; others are marked "awaiting check" until verified. Spotted a mistake? Tell us.